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Friday, October 30, 2026 · The story behind the score
MLB · Analysis

Bichette's $42 million option year is a verdict on the market

A .702 OPS season and a thin class of infielders sent Bo Bichette back to the Mets, and the $42 million he keeps comes with another exit door.

Bo Bichette in a Mets uniform swinging at a pitch during a game.
Bo Bichette in a Mets uniform swinging at a pitch during a game.. Photo: D. Benjamin Miller, CC0, Wikimedia Commons (CC0)

Bo Bichette had a choice this week between $42 million guaranteed and the open market. He took the money. The Athletic's Will Sammon reported that Bichette will exercise his player option, and the decision reads as a statement about what a free-agent infielder with his 2026 résumé is worth to the other 29 teams.

The deal he walked away from

The original contract is three years and $126 million, and the option year pays the same $42 million average. Opting out would have cost him that salary in exchange for a $5 million buyout, which MLB Trade Rumors says would be deferred for a decade. To come out ahead, Bichette had to land more than the $84 million left on the deal across multiple years. MLB.com argued he could not have matched the annual value after an uneven season, and MLB Trade Rumors called the two-year guarantee difficult to pass up.

The New York Post pointed to a weak market, with Bruce Chisholm-level names such as Jazz Chisholm, Luis Arráez and Nick Lowe among the best second and third basemen available. The Post also said Bichette might have topped the $84 million, so the call was not a sure thing. That is the useful tension. A thin class should help a hitter. It did not help enough to make him leave.

What the season said

Bichette hit .260/.312/.390 with 18 home runs. His wins above replacement came out at 0.7 on Baseball-Reference and 1.9 on FanGraphs, and that gap is mostly defense. He played 113 games at third base and 47 at shortstop after the Mets moved him around, and Baseball-Reference docks him for his glove across all positions. FanGraphs sees an average-plus bat in a below-average year. Baseball-Reference sees a player the market would have priced as a bat-first infielder with a questionable position.

The second half helped his case. MLB.com cites a .285/.337/.442 line after his slow start, and he appeared happier as the season went on. A team that bought that version would have paid for a rebound. A team that bought the full-year line would have paid for something much smaller than $42 million.

The test now

This is where the Mets get a pricey experiment. Bichette can opt out again after next season on the same terms, so New York is paying a record-adjacent salary for a player who holds the leverage every winter. If he hits like the second-half version, he walks into a better market with a cleaner story. If he repeats 2026, he can stay at $42 million anyway.

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That structure is the real answer to the angle. A long-term deal gives a team control and gives a player security. An option year with a repeatable opt-out gives the player both, and the Mets carry the risk. Bichette did not turn down money. He declined to sell his free-agent stock at a low price and kept the right to sell it again.

The labor deal is set to expire at the start of December, and RealTime Sports framed that uncertainty as a possible factor, though Bichette has not said so himself. Whatever his reasons, the outcome is a high-priced test: does one guaranteed year at a top-of-the-sport salary beat a long-term deal in a market that would not pay him like a star? For now, the answer is yes.

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