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Tuesday, November 3, 2026 · The story behind the score
NBA · Analysis

Portland's fast start is a development story, not a hot streak

The Trail Blazers are 5-1 under Micah Nori, and the more useful read is how Deni Avdija's role and the young rotation are being managed.

Deni Avdija of the Portland Trail Blazers driving to the basket during a game.
Deni Avdija of the Portland Trail Blazers driving to the basket during a game.. Photo: All-Pro Reels from District of Columbia, USA, CC BY-SA 2.0, Wikimedia Commons (CC BY-SA 2.0)

Portland beat Denver 118-110 on the road to move to 5-1, and the easy reading is a team riding a hot week. Six games is too few to argue otherwise. The better reading is that the Trail Blazers are producing in a way that suggests a plan, and the plan runs through Deni Avdija.

The scoring gap is real

Portland is scoring 120.2 points a game and allowing 109.3. A team can fake a record for six games with close wins and late luck. It has a harder time faking a margin that wide. Offense carries most of it, which fits a roster built around playmakers and a coach who had to sort out how they share the ball.

That sorting was the central question of the summer. Avdija finished last season at 24.2 points, 6.9 rebounds and 6.7 assists a night, and Portland then added two guards of All-Star caliber. As Jason Quick of The Athletic reported, and Blazer's Edge relayed, Avdija wondered what that meant for him. Nori called to explain it. In that account, Morant is a pass-first point guard, Lillard pulls defenders away from Avdija, and Avdija gets secondary actions where he can attack mismatches.

The early returns back the pitch. Avdija's scoring is holding near last season's level even with more talent around him, which is the hard part of any role change. A star who keeps his production while the roster gets deeper is a player the coach has fit correctly. A star who drops off usually is not.

Why this reads as development

Nori has leaned on a deep rotation, and that matters for a young team. Spreading minutes across a wide group lets younger players take smaller, cleaner roles instead of carrying heavy loads they are not ready for. Clingan, Henderson, Cissoko and Hansen are all still learning the league, and a defined role is how they learn it.

The caution is fair. Six games say little about shooting efficiency, and a few of the young players have not yet filled their roles with consistent production. Sharpe has not played this season, so the rotation Nori has used is not the one he will have at full strength. Nobody should read a before-and-after into minutes and points yet, because last season covered a full year under a different coach and this one covers a handful of games.

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What to watch

The next test is whether the offense holds when road games like the one in Denver stop going Portland's way. The defense is respectable, not elite, and the margin leans on scoring. If Avdija keeps producing as a secondary option beside two guards, and the young players keep stable minutes, the start becomes a baseline. If the shots stop falling, the record will tell that story first.

Rip City Project called Nori quickly looking like the right hire, and the early evidence supports a narrow version of that claim. He made a clear case to his best young forward, the forward bought in, and the numbers followed. That is how development usually works: a role first, then the results.

Spotted a mistake? Tell us and we will correct it with a note.

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